{"id":590,"date":"2016-12-20T13:14:41","date_gmt":"2016-12-20T13:14:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/?p=590"},"modified":"2016-12-21T12:16:24","modified_gmt":"2016-12-21T12:16:24","slug":"christmas-share-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/2016\/12\/20\/christmas-share-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"Share tips for christmas &#8211; Top 3"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">My 3 share tips for Christmas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Everyone loves share tips &#8211; especially if we have a little extra money from Farther Christmas to spend!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">It can be tough sometimes to come across dividend stocks at attractive valuations so I\u2019m going to give you a gift.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"><strong>Here are my top 3 share tips for you this Christmas!<\/strong><!--more--><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"><strong>1. Next Plc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u00a0<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-566\" src=\"http:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/next-300x386.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"148\" height=\"190\" srcset=\"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/next-300x386.jpg 300w, https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/next.jpg 350w, https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/next-39x50.jpg 39w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 148px) 100vw, 148px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">I really think that Next is a gem of a stock.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">People have dumped Next harshly over the past few months due to slowing sales and the falling pound.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Sales are slowing there\u2019s no doubt about that, but the balance sheet remains robust.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Next has monster cash flow.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">It earned \u00a3608mn from its operations in 2016 and had so much money it paid out a \u00a3550mn special dividend!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">It\u2019s payout ratio currently stands at 35% meaning that a drop in earnings could still see Next comfortably pay it\u2019s dividend.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">As far as competition goes everyone is pointing to ASOS as Next\u2019s kryptonite.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">But let\u2019s put things in perspective here. ASOS trades at a crazy price to earnings multiple of 114 while next trades at a cool 11.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Even with it\u2019s value artificially inflated by demand, ASOS\u2019s market cap is \u00a34bn. Next is still worth a whopping \u00a37bn even at these low multiples.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">That\u2019s right: Next is getting hammered and yet still has a larger market cap.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">I certainly know where the value is right there!<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">In terms of the overall retail sector. It\u2019s tough.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">The falling pound has made importing goods more expensive for retail companies and the British public simply aren\u2019t willing to pay more for their clothes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">This means retail companies\u2019 margins are coming under pressure as they can\u2019t pass on price increases to customers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">But guess who has a ton of breathing room? \u2013 Next!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Next has a lovely net profit margin of nearly 16%. This is a lean, efficient operation folks!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Their big slayer ASOS? They have a net profit margin of only 2.4%<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">My point here is that everyone in the retail sector will face a squeeze due to the falling pound but Next is in a very good place to deal with that.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">I even think this industry pressure is a good thing! We may see major problems brewing in competition.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">I\u2019m confident Next will weather these storms and come out on top.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"><strong>2. Unilever<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u00a0 \u00a0<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-567\" src=\"http:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/unilever-300x386.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"180\" height=\"232\" srcset=\"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/unilever-300x386.jpg 300w, https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/unilever.jpg 350w, https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/unilever-39x50.jpg 39w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">When it comes to share tips, some people love a solid stock. No dice rolling just a \u2018safe place; for your money.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Well, I think Unilever offers just that.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Unilever owns some of our most beloved brands;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Ben &amp; Jerry&#8217;s ice cream, Dove soap, Lipton and more importantly for students \u2013 Pot Noodle!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">This company is worth over \u00a3100bn and is diversified around the globe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Boasting cool net profit margins of 10%, Unilever\u2019s brands offer considerable protection against currency swings and inflation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Quite simply, people are willing to pay that bit extra for a branded product that is \u2018unique\u2019.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Let\u2019s face it, Tesco\u2019s brand \u2018Cookie dough\u2019 just doesn\u2019t quite cut it.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">We\u2019ve already seen Morrisons bump up some Unilever product\u2019s prices 12.5% and guess what, people are still buying!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">If you\u2019re looking for some consistent income then Unilever has you covered. With a dividend yield of 2.75%, it\u2019s definitely more attractive than any saving account.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">In terms of its valuation, it\u2019s certainly not screaming buy but it\u2019s at a fair valuation if you ask me.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Down from it\u2019s \u00a338 a share high it\u2019s now trading at a much more reasonable \u00a332.50. At a price to earnings of around 20.5 based on its full year earnings estimates for 2016 it\u2019s certainly above it\u2019s 5 year average of 18.6.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">But uncertain times inflate the prices of solid stocks like Unilever and sometimes we may just have to pay a premium for that increased safety.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"><strong>3. Greggs plc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-561\" src=\"http:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/gregs-300x386.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"238\" height=\"306\" srcset=\"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/gregs-300x386.jpg 300w, https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/gregs.jpg 350w, https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/gregs-39x50.jpg 39w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 238px) 100vw, 238px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Well I\u2019d be boring if I kept it all safe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">For safety, there are plenty of other stocks out there such as Johnson and Johnson and Whitbread but if you want an element of risk, here it is.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">At nearly 17 times earnings (ttm) the stock appears expensive, and taking look at its historical p\/e ratio we can immediately see that the stock has traded at far lower multiples in the past.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">But here&#8217;s why I&#8217;m interested!<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> In 2013 Greggs appointed a new CEO who embarked on an ambitious shift in strategy in order to aggressively target a growing food-on-the-go market.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">That strategy proved a hit with customers!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> Greggs is now uniquely placed in the food-on-the-go market with its ability to offer hot or cold products and fresh coffee for a competitive price.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> This really sets the company apart from competitors such as supermarket chains due to the freshness of the offering and from high-end competitors such as coffee shops by its pricing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> In addition to this, Greggs has a step up on its competition in relation to costs. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">With chains such as Costa announcing that they will have to raise prices in order to pay staff the new \u00a37.20 minimum wage, Greggs already pays staff \u00a37.11 an hour meaning that they can maintain prices.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">And the best thing about it&#8217;s step up?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> Greggs doesn&#8217;t even hold 1p of debt meaning there&#8217;s nothing to weigh down the balance sheet and plenty of room to take on debt for any potential ventures\/expansions!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> I also think that if inflation takes off and wallets get squeezed in the UK that Greggs would benefit as a value offering as people shift from expensive food-on-the-go options to a cheap and cheerful alternative.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> Greggs currently has a dividend yield of 2.72% which isn\u2019t bad, but nothing to get excited about. But what really does excite me is the company\u2019s commitment to grow the dividend.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> The company managed to grow its dividend by 30% from 2014 to 2015 with a juicy special dividend of 20p per share.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> With a payout ratio of 52% there is also still room for maneuver to increase the ratio should sales somehow disappoint.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">So there we have it! My top 3 share tips for Christmas.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\"> A mix of value, safety and growth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Hungry for more ideas? Take a look at my <a href=\"http:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/portfolio\/\">portfolio holdings <\/a>for some inspiration.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif;\">Are you new to investing? Then <a href=\"http:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/beginner-to-investor\/\">this guide<\/a> is perfect for you.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My 3 share tips for Christmas. Everyone loves share tips &#8211; especially if we have a little extra money from Farther Christmas to spend! It can be tough sometimes to&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=590"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=590"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=590"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frugalstudent.co.uk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=590"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}